One Day, Two States, Three Results
- Filed under: Democrats '08, Republicans '08
- Date: Jan 19,2008

The Republicans had contests in both Nevada and South Carolina today; the Democrats did the Nevada part but we will have to wait a week to see how things play in South Carolina on their end.
Hillary Clinton continued her "resurgence" by beating Obama in Nevada, 51-45%. She has now beaten Obama in two straight critical races, which is very important because he is the definite front runner in South Carolina next Saturday. Some desperate Obama supporters tonight are trying to claim he actually won because he got one more delegate somehow (Nevada sure can count weird), but Hillary gets the buzz and positive Sunday AM headlines out of it. I am pretty sure that Obama would trade his extra delegate for Clinton's 6% win. However, Obama supporters will be right if it comes down to the convention (chances of that happening about 1%) and he ends up coming out on top of a brokered convention by one delegate. Otherwise the spin is nothing but that. Obama is finding out that to beat the Clinton Machine you need more than "hope." The performance of John Edwards is not worth the space it would take up here describing it. The only reason he stays in the race now is to siphon off a few white votes here and there from Clinton next Saturday to help Obama. Probably about time he starts retooling for his 2012 bid.
Mitt Romney won in a landslide in Nevada. His critics are already discounting it because of the high number of Mormons voting. He still had 35% more votes than his nearest competitor who happened to be Ron Paul. The win does keep his supporters both enthused about him and just as important the willingness to fork over money. South Carolina is where the attention is focused tonight though. John McCain was able to win in the state that marked the beginning of his end in 2000. South Carolina is a tailor made state for Mike Huckabee, and his 2nd place showing is not a good sign for him. Hard to see where he goes from here. Romney can celebrate his win earlier in the day, but he has to be depressed with his finish in South Carolina, a state he dumped a lot of money and time in to. It now looks like it is going to come down to McCain vs. the anti-McCain, which right now still looks like it will be Romney. There is a slim chance it could be Rudy, but his strategy is looking worse and worse by the day. His only chance is to now convince voters (specifically in Florida) that he is the best alternative to McCain who can win in the general, implying that Romney is a sure loser in November. It looks like whoever can win Florida will have the leg up going into Super Tuesday.
As for Fred Thompson, it is probably time to end it. I hate that it came to this, but he should have done better in South Carolina. He just never was able to gain traction. He was the candidate that could have been but never was. I would love to see him in the VP slot - I think he would really add to the ticket.
Duncan Hunter did make the decision to end it tonight.



The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has selected John Boccieri as one of ten targeted candidates for its new